Married Men vote heavily Trump while Single Women vote equally for Harris.
The more kids parents have, the more likely they vote Trump.
Gen Z is moving at breakneck speed to the right.
I want to cover a couple of different
demographics one is going to be marriage
married individuals and the second is
going to be gen z uh some very
interesting things very interesting
things that are happening here in these
two demographics first of all uh make
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gospel on the Nile okay so in this
episode I want to cover some charts here
some demographics that are are are
really very interesting I want to start
with married individuals in the United
States because these things break in
different ways for the left and for the
right the Republicans and and uh for the
uh Democrats right I want to show you
this chart here this is
fascinating uh look over on the the far
left here you have married men okay 39%
went for Harris of married men 59%
almost 60% went for of married men went
for Trump okay now let's go all the way
over to the other side of the of the
chart here to the right this is
unmarried women single women this is JD
Vance's cat ladies right Harris 60% of
the vote the exact opposite of what you
have with married men and 37% of
unmarried women went for Trump so one
end of the scale is essentially 60%
single women going for Harris and the
other side is
60% of married men going for Trump now
let's narrow this down and go into the
middle here for married women and
unmarried men so for married
women even they broke barely more for
Trump
so when we talk about women and the
women's vote and we keep thinking of the
Democrats and
Etc well that's only single women that's
only single women 50% of all married
women voted for Trump
49% voted for Harris so we're seeing you
see what happens here and there's a
there's a couple of things to think
about on this by the way right one would
be uh a certain type of of
person that would vote more
conservative gets
married and so they're already in that
position where let's say a woman right
is going to be more conservative so
she's going to be a little bit more
traditional she's going to want to get
married and have kids and therefore
naturally she's going to vote for the
Republicans right or bend more that way
and of course if you are less
conservative you you may not get married
you may be single and and therefore
you're going to vote for the Democrats a
at a higher break
or those that get married become more
conservative and those that stay single
get more liberal I don't know what the
answer to that is I would imagine it's a
little bit of both but you've got a
dynamic in the United States where based
on this the Republicans have a a uh
motivation for more of America to be
married and beyond that here I'll get to
it in just a second here and the
Democrats have a motivation for more
individuals to be single now if I'm
looking at this certainly marriage as an
institution is good for America but it
is not good for the
Democrats and so I think the Democrats
have a couple of things to look at
number one well do we want more of
America to be single or do we move
toward uh um being more healing through
the way we handle issues political
issues to those that are married in in
my mind the direction as as the left and
the right get further and further apart
here I don't think the latter is going
to happen I think the the Democrats are
going to dig in their heels Double Down
you've already seen it even today in
response to the
results and they are not going to be the
party of the family and speaking of
family let's go beyond just marriage and
look at the difference between those
that have kids and those that don't have
kids now this is for those that have a
child under 18 you'll notice here
there's not that big of a difference and
I'm going to show you a different chart
here that's going to show you the
difference between those that just have
a child under 18 and those that have
several children in the home right
because when you look here on the way
this breaks looking on the left side of
this chart here 47% of those that have a
child went toward Harris those that did
have or didn't have a 47% of those that
have a child went for Harris those that
51% of those that have a child went for
Trump and of course pretty much the
opposite for those that do not have
children so again Trump gets the vote
here for those that have
children and and from from parents right
from parents the parent vote goes to
Trump for those that do do not have
children the the vote goes to Harris so
again a very interesting Dynamic here
what is this going to double down on
both sides is the messaging going to be
family and anti-family and I do mean
anti-family
because policies that support the family
are definitely going to be found more on
the right now we can go beyond this and
look at those look at the fertility rate
state by state and see how they voted
now this is a really interesting chart
here check this out so you can see here
on the left is the fertility rate going
from 1.1 all the way up to 2.1 which by
the way you've only got a a a single
state one state in all of the United
States and it's not
Utah I'll I'll give you some more
information on Utah here in a minute but
it's it's uh it's South Dakota the only
state that is above replacement in all
of the
Union other than that we are imploding
in terms of of families we are
depopulating outside of
immigration is is very concerning here
very very concerning and this is quite
frankly a good sign for the Democrats
because as that fertility rate drops the
country moves to the left so you see
here on the left is the fertility rate
on the bottom going from left to right
is the vote share that Trump gained
okay so as you see the the states that
are rising up in the chart and moving to
the
right they all coincide they're they're
all pretty close to coinciding with the
higher the state's fertility rate the
more it votes for Trump the percentage
of the vote goes to Trump so the larger
the families are on average in each
state the more the vote goes to Trump
however our fertility rates are dropping
at break next speed and and again I I
know that Elon Musk is an example is
someone who's
really trying to get this out there so
we understand the whole West is is in
Decline partially because our our
families are decreasing in size our
marriage is decreasing in numbers and
our families are decreasing in size and
when you do that a civilization
implodes and that's what's happening in
the United States let me give you the
biggest example of this take a look here
at
uh uh Washington
DC right you've got the the that in
going back N9 years so N9 years of 2015
they had a 1.47 replacement rate right
so that's for every two people a couple
they are replacing it with 1.47 kids on
average okay they have declined in the
last nine years down to
1.11 replacement rate okay so almost
half almost half what was the vote in DC
in this
election
94% voted for
Harris 6% of all of
DC voted for Trump which by the way
should give you a really good idea
because those are granted there's a
number of inner city individuals that
that are in that area but you have
got you've got the machine
working in DC who do they pull
for right which is the party of the
state it's not hard to see there now I
want to move over to Utah look at Utah
in 2015 it had the highest replacement
rate just just nine years ago just nine
years ago it had the highest replacement
rate at
2.29 okay what are they at now Utah's
dropped down to
1.84 now 1.84 is still one of the higher
there's a few states that are that are
now higher than
Utah but it is the largest drop in all
50 states in the last nine years and
this is one of the reasons and looking
at these these statistics that I keep
telling people Utah is going to go
Blue it's going to go Blue when you mix
the the economic well-being of that
state which is
soaring along with a a decrease which
and these two go along together all the
time a decrease in the size of family a
the largest decrease in the size of
family in that state you're going to end
up on the left you're and and
Utah is I think that wasach front area
right going all the way up to uh the
northern counties Davis County for
example all the way down to Utah County
you're you're looking at an area that
is full of Pride Flags just one example
full of Pride Flags you've got
universities there right three major
universities in those
areas and uh it's I I I think you're
looking at at at Utah turning blue in in
a not too distant F
future along with all of those that are
moving into the
state that adds an additional element of
of of
change in the demographic and as we see
this right as you see with the decrease
in the size of family the more that
group moves over to the left now the
second group I want to look at is Gen Z
this is a group that is moving in the
opposite way where where families are
shrinking where depopulation is taking
over the United States and all of the
West that is that is going to be a move
to the left right that will be a move to
the left now for Gen Z where you have a
even where you have a group that is
going to have fewer years to have more
children a group where more and more
marriage is being pushed off to later in
life and kids are being pushed off later
in life there's actually a a very strong
move to the right and it this is
unforeseen take a look at this change
here this is this is really something
even with women going back this is going
to run back 6 years right so the last
four elections including the one we just
had going back to
2018 women ages 18 to 29 broke for the
left at 33 at a 33% difference right so
33% more uh women 18 ages 18 to 29 broke
for the left for the Democrats two years
later it's almost the same thing
2020 now I don't know if it's co or if
it's a being tired of wokeness or what
what is going on here but you move from
2020 to 2022 and women ages 18 to 29
drop an 11 points 11 points in 2 years
so that the Republicans basically are
gaining another 11 11% there there're
still 21% more likely to vote for the
Democrats coming down to 2024 not as
much of a difference right uh in in the
last two years only another 3% but it's
still trending to the right for young
women now look at the men going back to
four elections going back to
2018 men had an at at 19% men ages 18 to
29 were 19% more likely to vote Democrat
right so that's where the women are
today the young women are at about the
same spot today that men were back six
years ago right four elections okay so
then two years later they move to the
right and only 15% more likely in 2020
to vote Democrat and then again the
massive change here for 2020 to 2022
which is
covid you go from 15 % more likely to
vote for democrats for young men all the
way to only
1% more likely to vote for Democrat in
2022 and then something very strange
happens where the women move 3% to the
right from 2022 to this election in
2024 the men move another 15% to the
right where men ages 18 to 29 were 14%
more likely to vote for Republican and
Trump than they were for Harris and the
Democrats so in four years young men
have made a
29% change to the right and young women
in those four years have made a 14% move
to the right and I would say it's only
Co if it was only the 2020 to 22
election areas but then when you have a
small change still to the right for the
women of gen Z and then another massive
move for the men to the right you have
to say it's something else for the men
especially I think it's they're very
tired of the way they're
treated I think that young men are being
lost in our society and they seem to
think that the Republicans are going to
help them out more than the Democrats do
so two demographics here that we look at
that if the these demographics are
moving very quickly around back and
forth I'm going to do another episode on
on the Mormon vote here and and we'll
take a look at what is h what seems to
be happening in those areas we can only
look at that geographically but uh there
are definitely changes that are
happening where you have those that have
been on the left are moving to the right
but in the with the latterday Saints I
think we're getting more that are moving
from the right over to the left this may
be a trump Factor but there might be
other things that are uh influencing
this as well so we'll get to that
episode shortly thanks for listening
